Update On Taiwan Excess Non-Covid Deaths
August Deaths are reported today for Taiwan on 9/8
https://www.ris.gov.tw/app/en/2121?sn=22251443
Total 17, 830 (+25.2% above 2016-2020 average for August)
To see an analysis through July see this
So far only 1000 deaths are reported by CDC to be Covid deaths. There is a bit of a lag in reporting on cause of death but based on previous months I don’t expect the total to exceed 1,300 so I will use that for the following analysis.
As such of the 3,586 excess deaths compared to 2016-2020 average for August that means there is an additional 2,286 non-Covid excess deaths
Non-COVID excess Deaths since May 2021 is 19,866 which is about 65% of total excess deaths. A much larger percentage of the Excess Deaths were non-Covid Deaths in 2021 and through April 2022.
From May 2021 when vaccination and lockdowns (lifted in August) began through April 2022 there were 12,353 excess deaths, 93% were non-Covid Deaths
From May 2022 through August 2022 there were 18,084 Excess Deaths and 46% were non-Covid Deaths. In August 64% of the Excess Deaths were non-Covid deaths.
I will hold my tongue for now and not speculate as to whats going on
Putting the total Excess Deaths into into context, adjusting that for a population size of the US gives you 275,000 non-Covid deaths (which is about the actual number of non-Covid deaths in US since jan 1, 2022).
There was good news on Births. There were 11,902 babies born in Aug 2022 which decreased 5.45% compared with the same month last year. Since births decline almost 4% a year in a normal year thats not significant, so hopefully the significant declines seen in the first half of the year wont be repeated
More on excess births decline here
On the Vaccine front the 2nd booster was approved in late July for those aged 50-64. Taiwan entered a new wave of Omicron a month later. Not saying they are related, just making an observation.
The slope of the weekly increases is much lower this time but the rapid increase in the last wave may have been a function of rapid increase in testing. The 2nd booster dose for 65+ was approved in May.
Also at the end of July the kiddies are eligible for their first shot. As of 9/8 30% of the kids have had a taste.
As for the rest of the population, 94% have had a first shot, and of course Mask Mandates. They are now preparing to push the bivalent COVID shots based on the testing of 8-10 mice.
Meanwhile another Congressional Delegation has arrived with Mike Pompeo to follow in a couple of weeks. It does feel like Taiwan is being colonized.