Non-Covid Excess Deaths: Florida vs Massachusetts
* Correction on US Non-Covid Excess Deaths on 9/30
Had a rare exchange with Monica Ghandi on Excess Deaths where she argued closing of medical care & other services during COVID may explain non-Covid Excess Deaths.
So I decided to look at Massachusetts and Florida. While both had Lockdowns and Disruptions to Medical Care, especially in 2020 , it was certainly seemed less disruptive in Florida
So here are All Cause Excess Deaths for both including US as a whole
Here is Non-Covid Excess Deaths
So clearly Lockdowns and Disruptions didn’t cause any Non-Covid Excess Deaths in Massachusetts. On the contrary, they declined.
Or did they? Maybe they were just better at covering them up by calling them COVID Deaths.
But how to explain their lower All Cause (Covid) Excess Deaths than Florida or the National Average?
Some would argue a higher vaccination rate although in the 65& Up its only marginally higher 95% vs 93%
But shouldn’t the higher vaccination rates in the younger age groups 53-86% vs 22-73% result in more Non-Covid Deaths?
Are they getting the same stuff the rest of the US is getting?
For example, here are non-Covid Excess Deaths in US by year (MA in parenthesis, followed by expected if following population average)
Note-I corrected the numbers for US Non-Covid Excess Deaths below -9/30
2020- 156k (-1.2K) Exp-3.3k dif - 4.5k
2021- 163k (-1.4K) Exp-3.5k dif- 4.9 k
2022- 76k (-0.7k) Exp-1.6k dif 2.3k
Massachusetts is part of the Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) that CDC uses to analyze Vaccine Safety besides VAERS (which they ignore) and V-Safe (they want release data). Even VSD is mostly restricted to “approved” researchers although “unapproved” researchers can get access with effort albeit with numerous restrictions.
Vaccine Safety Data Link provides Health Data for approximately 9.3 million patients annually
The following organizations are members of the project:
Group Health Cooperative, Seattle, Washington
Harvard Pilgrim Health Care, Boston, Massachusetts
HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota
Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon
Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California
Kaiser Permanente Colorado, Denver, Colorado
Kaiser Permanente Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia
Marshfield Clinic Research Foundation, Marshfield, Wisconsin
Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Los Angeles, California
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6727851/
So of the 8 states covered only about 12% of these states population and less than 3% of the total population
If you were going to distribute a bunch of unsafe vaccines you would probably want to make sure residents in these areas got something better.
Can they control the distribution that well?. As part of Operation Warp Speed they contracted with Palantir who set up a software program called Tiberious that supposedly can do that.
Tiberius, a software program developed and managed by Palantir, “will help the federal government allocate the amount of vaccines each state will receive,” and local officials will use Tiberius to “decide where every allocated dose will go—from local doctors’ offices to large medical centers.” According to that report and others, Tiberius would collect data from US government agencies, as well as from local and state governments, pharmaceutical firms, vaccine manufacturers, and companies like McKesson that have been contracted for the coming vaccine distribution
So anyways, lets look briefly at some other states picked at random
Deaths as a Pct of Expected Deaths
(eg. 103 is 3% above expected)
Here is some raw data. Not all included in the above chart
2022 is August-March (in that order)
Illinois, Wisconsin, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York , Pennsylvania and New Jersey well below the national average. Most of these can be considered blue or purple states
Florida (Red), Washington, Minnesota, Colorado, Texas (Red) are well above normal.
While Washington, Minnesota and Colorado are VSD and Blue or Purple states, the organizations in VSD seem to be centered in cities and their coverage area may be more concentrated in cities as well. Red Areas of these states seem to be in suburban and more rural areas and hospitals in these areas may report on COVID deaths more honestly and file more VAERS reports. This is just a hypothesis and I may be wrong
The data below come from CDC
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
*Massachusetts
August 107.
July. 106.
June. 105.
May. 108.
April. 97.
March. 97.
#Florida
August. 117.
July. 119.
June. 117.
May. 111.
April. 107.
Mar. 110.
*Minnesota
2022
102
110
113
108
107
108
2021
115
2020
116
*Wisconsin
2022
106
110
110
107
103
105
2021
114
2020
117
#Washington
2022
114
122
119
116
114
107
2021
120
2020
110
#Minnesota
2022
111
118
117
116
114
110
2021
122
2020
109
California
2022
114
118
112
109
105
104
2021
124
2020
119-
#Colorado
2022
112
121
122
118
111
111
2021
125
2020
121
Georgia
2022
105
114
112
110
110
111
2021
132
2020
122
*Maryland
2022
103
105
108
106
101
103
2021
115
2020
119
*NYC
2022
111
108
104
104
97
99
2021
116
2020
150
*New York
2022
109
107
106
112
104
100
2021
116
2020
119
#Texas
2022
109
121
115
111
111
114
2021
133
2020
124
*Pennsylvania
2022
103
105
104
103
98
98
2021
115
2020
115
North Carolina
2022
112
117
115
111
105
103
2021
125
2020
116
*New Jersey
2022
102
105
103
106
98
97
2021
112
2020
129
*Illinois
2022
109
110
109
106
102
101
2021
121
2020
121