Is Donetsk Next?
Addendum to my latest post
Its hard to know whats true but from the below link apparently the Russians had very few military forces in Kharkiv area before the Ukrainian counter offensive. They were able to get their forces out so quickly because they didn’t have many there (1/2 a brigade, about 2000 troops)
https://t.me/brianlovethailand/777
Even more shocking, if true, is that Russia does not even have many troops on the ground in the Donbass. Mostly DPR forces. The entire point of the SMO was to liberate the Donbass and the end of Phase I was supposedly so Russia could send more troops to the Donbass, so WTF?. No wonder progress has been so slow.
Again, I have no idea if this is true but if so, the Ukrainians might very well decide to go after Donetsk proper. Russell Texas Bentley on the ground in Donetsk seems a tad concerned
And in other news besides the drama bullshit, looks like ukrop nazis will soon attack Donetsk. As I have said since 2015, "As goes Donbass, so goes the world." If Donetsk falls, Russia will fall. Lyudmila and I are staying. I have a pistol and machinegun and we will defend our home till the last breath. We will not be captured.
In n.p. Krasnogorovka is a large concentration of enemy forces. Interestingly, there are a lot of sandy-colored vehicles without the characteristic camouflage inherent in the formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Also, “local residents” recorded more than three hundred servicemen who speak only English and have camouflage uniforms such as “multicam”, that is, presumably representatives of foreign PMCs.
The information is correct.
The enemy is stretching the reserves along the flanks (Kherson, Kharkov) exposing the center (Donetsk).
The main two strikes will presumably be inflicted on the Donetsk direction.
The first strike will be delivered at night in the area of Vuhledar/Red Partizan in order to cut the Mariupol-Donetsk highway and divert resources available in the Donetsk direction to neutralize this breakthrough. It will take place during the day.
On the second day, in order to neutralize the covert command and control (SUV), a second blow will be delivered - right on Donetsk. Most likely, this will happen in the Avdeevka direction, since there is a large transport hub there - the DKAD (the Yasinovataya-Makeevka direction).
Based on the analysis of the Kharkov strategy for the use of units, the commanders of the VFU operations primarily use the tactics of breakthroughs using mechanized
units, which most likely means an attempt to break through in the Yasinovataya-Makeevka direction along asphalt roads and block the Donetsk-Makeevka highway, which will lead to the operational encirclement of Donetsk.
An additional blow will presumably develop in the direction of Pervomaiskoye/Vodyanoye-Peski-Donetsk.
Considering the foregoing, we can conclude that the main direction of the strike of the entire large counteroffensive plan is not Kherson or Kharkov, but Donetsk, the loss of which, both in the media and in the strategic plan, could be a collapse for the entire Special Military Operation.
Here is what he said on September 11
The Russians were smashed in the Kharkov area because of strategic mistakes and failures of the Russian Army General Staff.
their stupidity is beyond imagination and excuse. And thousands of innocent people will die because of it.
Not only have they been shamefully defeated, their idiocy continues - They have moved the 15,000 man 3rd Corps from Donetsk to Izium, which leaves Donetsk almost defenseless. If ukrops now advance on Donetsk, even get a small foothold inside the city, it will be a blunder of strategic proportions.
I am in Donetsk. I got back from Moscow yesterday. There is a serious shortage of motor fuel (propane and gasoline) and drinking water in the city. Ukrop shelling is heavy and continuous. Our home is in Petrovsky District, less than 10 Km from the front lines in Mari'inka. We have been staying for the last few months in a friend's apartment in the city center, about 20 Km from the ukrop frontline positions, about an hour's drive by tank. I do not think they can make it to the city center, but taking Donetsk is the ukrop's main strategic objective, and even if they get a small foothold inside the city, they will have tens of thousands of civilian human shields and can create another Mariupol scenario.
The 15,000 man 3rd Corps from Donetsk to Izium may just be misinformation to disguise just how defenseless Donetsk has been.
We will see how it plays out. I never really bought the excuses about the slow progress and increasing number attacks on Donetsk after more than 6 month of the SMO and 4 months of Phase II. Didn’t pass the sniff test. This explains it if true.