Birth Rate Declines-Looking Beyond COVID Vaccines and COVID
What happened after 2008 in US regarding births?
Some might argue this drop in around 2007-2008 was recession related but after stabilizing a bit from 2011-2014 the drop continues, with an acceleration beginning in 2017 (possibly enhanced by reduced immigration), and then the COVID-Lockdowns followed by a bit of a recovery
From about 1975 to 2008 Births and Fertility Rates were relatively stable after the Cultural Revolution between 1960-1975
Something happened in 2007 besides the recession, and it wasn’t COVID vaccines
Something similar happened in Taiwan a bit later
Big drop after 2012, a bit stable, and then a rapid decline after 2016
As you can see here its accelerated with COVID
My hypothesis after reading Mary Hollands book on HPV is it may be the HPV vaccine
In US HPV vaccinations were approved for aged 9-26 females by FDA in 2006 and added to the CDC Childhood schedule in 2007 for 11-12 year olds, and FDA approved for all child bearing capable women from 2018
The association of HPV vaccination with pregnancy based on data from the National Health Nutrition Examination Survey 2007–2017 was studied and suggested an association. Women who received HPV vaccine were less likely to report ever having been pregnant. The article was retracted by the journal , allegedly because of serious flaws in both data analysis and interpretation.
https://www.who.int/groups/global-advisory-committee-on-vaccine-safety/topics/human-papillomavirus-vaccines/infertility
Retracted in 2022 (Retractions today are just a tool of censoring inconvenient science.)
Here is what the 2018 study found
A lowered probability of pregnancy in females in the USA aged 25-29 who received a human papillomavirus vaccine injection
Gayle DeLong. J Toxicol Environ Health
Birth rates in the United States have recently fallen. Birth rates per 1000 females aged 25-29 fell from 118 in 2007 to 105 in 2015. One factor may involve the vaccination against the human papillomavirus (HPV). Shortly after the vaccine was licensed, several reports of recipients experiencing primary ovarian failure emerged. This study analyzed information gathered in National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, which represented 8 million 25-to-29-year-old women residing in the United States between 2007 and 2014. Approximately 60% of women who did not receive the HPV vaccine had been pregnant at least once, whereas only 35% of women who were exposed to the vaccine had conceived.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29889622/
More on Gardasil from Wikipedia
The vaccine was approved for medical use in the United States in 2006, initially for use in females aged 9–26. In 2007, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices(ACIP) recommended Gardasil for routine vaccination of girls aged 11 and 12 years.As of August 2009, vaccination was recommended for both males and females before adolescence and the beginning of potential sexual activity. By 2011, the vaccine had been approved in 120 other countries. In 2018, the FDA approved expanded use of Gardasil 9 for individuals aged 27 through 45 years old
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gardasil
In 2017, roughly half (49 percent) of adolescents were up to date on the HPV vaccine, and 66 percent of adolescents ages 13-17 years received the first dose to start the vaccine series.
https://www.cdc.gov/hpv/partners/outreach-hcp/hpv-coverage.html
Those 11-12 year olds are now 27-28, entering peak child bearing years. (mean age of 1st time mothers is 27.3)
If there is an association we should be seeing a rather drastic declined coming. Conveniently for Merck and GSK, Covid Vaccines might be set up as the patsy for when a scenario like Children of Men takes place, perhaps as early as 2027. Ok, maybe not quite as drastic as that. Lol
Covid Vaccines, unlike HPV Vaccines for Adults, are exempt from liability under the PREP Act which is a more extensive liability protection than that under the 1986 Vaccine Act . With the PREP Act the only loophole is proving willful misconduct. Willful misconduct is much tougher to prove than negligence, so Merck is much more vulnerable to being sued than Pfizer or Moderna, making COVID Vaccines the perfect patsy
Taiwan made HPV Vaccines mandatory for girls entering Junior High School in 2018. However, HPV Vaccinations were recommended in 2010 for women 9-26 years old. I was unable to find out what percentage of Taiwan women of child bearing age are HPV Vaccinated, they will only report vax rate of those in junior high (92%) which I find suspicious
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3596997
This seems true of other countries as well. They seem to report only on vaccine coverage rate of school girls. Maybe my search skills suck or they just don’t want us tracking HPV Vaccine coverage among all women of child bearing age
From the Lancet reporting on in 2016 on vaccine coverage of 10-20 year olds as of 2014 they report the “more developed regions, 33·6% (95% CI 25·9–41·7) of females aged 10–20 years received the full course of vaccine”
These girls would be 19-29 today.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(16)30099-7/fulltext
No doubt vaccine coverage in the developed world has increased among women who are of child bearing age since 2014, whatever the number is.
Here are some excerpts from Mary Holland book regarding what is known about the HPV Vaccines and Fertility
The manufacturers never tested HPV vaccines on human fertility. Although this vaccine is given to adolescents throughout the world, the manufacturers acknowledge in their package inserts that they never tested the vaccine for fertility effects in humans—only rats. We look at the substantial evidence of severe adverse effects on fertility, including miscarriage and premature ovarian failure in girls and young women.
Evidence shows that certain ingredients in HPV vaccines, including sodium borate (also known as borax, a cleaning agent), may have negative effects on fertility. The European Chemicals Agency requires sodium borate to carry the following warning: “DANGER! May damage fertility or the unborn child.” In the US, borax is banned in food but allowed in vaccines.
While the data on the effects of polysorbate 80 on ovaries are limited, in at least two animal studies,17 scientists demonstrated that injecting it into female rats caused ovarian damage, and feeding rats diets high (20 percent of the diet) in polysorbate 80 was ovary toxic. While available animal studies have significant limitations, including the strength of the solution injected and the dose of polysorbate 80 fed, they nonetheless suggest that we need to pay more attention to the reports of premature ovarian failure in young women who receive Gardasil.
When Merck combined all clinical trial data, the average miscarriage rate was similar in both the Gardasil and AAHS control groups at around 25 percent.
But the control groups did not use a saline placebo. The study protocol explained precisely that the placebo was Merck’s proprietary adjuvant amorphous aluminum hydroxyphosphate sulfate, or AAHS, not saline. Further, the clinical trial Protocol, although precise on many things, omitted from the vaccine and placebo descriptions the other ingredients contained in the approved vaccine: polysorbate 80, sodium borate, and L-histidine.
The FDA accepted that overall, because the groups had similar rates, there was no cause for concern. It did not look to a background miscarriage rate in the US or any other country for comparison. Rates vary, but in women under 30, the miscarriage rate in the US is around 10–15 percent. A large study in Denmark looked at over 1.2 million pregnancy outcomes from 1978 to 1992 and found that the miscarriage rate in women aged 20 to 24 years old was 8.9 percent.
The clinical trials took place only 10 years after researchers collected these data. While we don’t have a direct comparison to every country that took part in the trials, we do know that the miscarriage rate in healthy young women is relatively low and much lower than the 25 percent rate in the Gardasil trials. The miscarriage rate in the Gardasil 9 trials was even higher at 27.4 percent
Gardasil 9’s data. The rate of miscarriage in those who received Gardasil 9 within 30 days of conception was 28.4 percent and only 12.7 percent in those who received the Gardasil control. The FDA did not explain this large difference. There was also a higher rate of 40 percent in women aged 23 to 26, compared to 18.9 percent in 16-to-22-year-olds.
Once Merck submitted all the Gardasil 9 trial data, the package insert was able to report a slightly lower miscarriage rate of 27.4 percent in the vaccine group and 12.7 percent in the control group, without referring to the 30-day window.
Manufacturers only tested the vaccine on rats as a way to assess fertility safety in humans. Australian gynecologist Dr. Deirdre Little sought Merck’s clinical data on the rodent fertility studies through a freedom of information request to Australia’s Therapeutic Goods Association. She published her observations in 2014 in the Journal of Investigative Medicine.
She found that Merck had not conducted toxicology studies on the female rats’ reproductive system, and it destroyed the male rats after a short period. There was no long-term observation of the rats’ fertility. Dr. Little believes that had Merck studied the female rats’ ovaries for a longer period, it might have clarified the vaccine’s possible role in premature ovarian failure (POF) and other reproductive disorders.
In 2012, she published a case study in the British Medical Journal Case Reports on POF in an otherwise healthy teenager following Gardasil vaccination. She published three case studies in 2014, including the previously published 2012 case, examining why the vaccine might be related to this condition in teens and young women that is extremely rare.
A peer-reviewed article from Poland, citing Dr. Little, reiterated the need for more research into the possible vaccine effects on ovarian failure. In 2013, another article in the American Journal of Reproductive Immunology described three cases of POF associated with other autoimmune symptoms after HPV vaccination.
POF in adolescents in the US is so rare that when researchers at Stanford University School of Medicine learned about just one case, they checked their database for others. They published their findings in 2015 in the International Journal of Pediatric Endocrinology. They looked at the rates of idiopathic, or unexplained, POF from 1998 to 2013 and found 15 cases in total, with 13 occurring after 2008.
The timing of these cases matches Gardasil’s introduction into the mass market in 2007. The Stanford researchers could not explain the reason for this sudden appearance of idiopathic POF cases. They concluded that if other institutions found similar numbers of cases, future research should focus on environmental causes and genetic predispositions. These researchers did not explore any connection to HPV vaccines.
In looking at VAERS data, the US vaccine adverse event reporting system, we see that POF was never reported as an adverse event to vaccination until 2006. Since then, the data show many cases of POF that relate to HPV vaccines. In a 2016 press release, the American College of Pediatricians, a small pediatric group, also raised a concern about Gardasil’s association with “ovarian failure, premature menopause, and/or amenorrhea.”
The WHO conducted its own review of VAERS and other European safety databases in 2017 and found no causal link between the vaccines and POF. It may be too early to see the full impact of HPV vaccines on fertility when administered to 12-year-olds beginning in 2007, but many experts agree a large follow-up study on POF should be an urgent priority.
For example, in 2018, The Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health published an article by Gayle DeLong, exploring declining birth rates in young women in the US, and a possible association with the HPV vaccine. DeLong suggests that there may be a link, which demands further research.
Most teen pregnancies are unplanned, so governments generally welcome falling rates. Since 2007–08, however, there has been a sharp decline in teen pregnancies in many countries where HPV vaccine uptake is high.
In the UK, where uptake has consistently been around 90 percent, the government has reported that teen pregnancies have almost halved since 2008, when the vaccine was introduced, with no increase in abortion rates.
In 2017, the UK’s The Independent reported that teen pregnancy rates are at their lowest recorded level ever. The reason the newspaper gave was increased sex education and access to birth control, but it gave no reason why the decline would begin in 2008. Rates of conception for under-18-year-olds fell by 44 percent since 2007, while rates in those over 40 years old increased.
The Office for National Statistics stated, “the decline was most notable among women aged under 16 years.”
Scotland and Wales have similar statistics, both of which have the same school-based programs ensuring high uptake. Rates in under-16s in Scotland decreased by over 60 percent from 2007 to 2015.
So I don’t know what is to blame for the decline in births, if anything is to blame.
COVID vaccines are a big question mark. We have no idea what the impact will be on kids who received them since this was not evaluated
I think HPV Vaccines deserve a closer look , and I feel the COVID Vaccine myopia is preventing this. The COVID vaccines do make a good scapegoat , as I mentioned earlier
There may be other environmental factors as well. RF/EMR Is suspected to have an impact on fertility but this has not been adequately studied.
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